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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 5 November 2021

It’s ok to be wrong; it’s unforgivable to stay wrong.

Martin Zweig
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
25 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.77
  • 0.6565
  • BWP
  • 3.43
  • 0.0733
  • CAD
  • 34.51
  • 1.3581
  • CNY
  • 6.56
  • 7.1473
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8649
  • EUR
  • 50.42
  • 1.0758
  • HKD
  • 6.08
  • 7.7125
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0612
  • JPY
  • 30.50
  • 153.6760
  • KES
  • 35.48
  • 132.1115
  • NZD
  • 28.10
  • 0.5994
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7536
  • SGD
  • 34.80
  • 1.3468
  • ZAR
  • 2.52
  • 18.6007
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7251
  • CHF
  • 51.57
  • 1.1003
  • GBP
  • 58.71
  • 1.2526
  • USD
  • 46.87
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.96
  • 3.6157
The Cable nosedived after Bank of England caught the market off-guard by keeping rates steady, U.S NFP eyed
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The shared currency extended losses to $1.1555 after German Factory Orders revealed below expectations, U.S NFP eyed.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable hammered to $1.3595 after the Bank of England left its main interest rate unchanged having previously signaled it could raise it, casting doubts over the bank's communication.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen darted higher to 113.67 although Federal Reserve said it was in no rush to raise interest rates after it began tapering its bond-buying program.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar pressured down to $0.7395 on broad US dollar strength.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie slipped to 1.2457 on oil price fluctuations and ahead of Canadian Employment change later today.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand gained to 15.24 against U.S dollar despite  the municipal elections showing the outcome showing the country's ruling party recording its poorest ever electoral showing.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee climbed by 5 cents to 43.15(selling) tracking U.S dollar strength.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

16:30 - USD - Nonfarm Payroll (Oct)

16:30 - CAD - Unemployment Change Change (Oct)

16:30 - USD  Unemployment Rate (Oct)

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1693
1.3868
114.96
15.54
R2
1.1655
1.3783
114.62
15.26
R1
1.1605
1.3641
114.19
15.13
PP
1.1567
1.3556
113.85
14.88
S1
1.1517
1.3414
113.42
14.83
S2
1.1479
1.3329
113.08
14.67
S3
1.1429
1.3187
112.65
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.