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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 3November 2021

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Scott Redler
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
29 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 31.03
  • 0.6632
  • BWP
  • 3.35
  • 0.0717
  • CAD
  • 34.58
  • 1.3533
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1442
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8499
  • EUR
  • 50.44
  • 1.0780
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.7088
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0953
  • JPY
  • 30.30
  • 154.4156
  • KES
  • 35.29
  • 132.5943
  • NZD
  • 28.21
  • 0.6028
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.7618
  • SGD
  • 34.76
  • 1.3459
  • ZAR
  • 2.58
  • 18.1629
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.7453
  • CHF
  • 51.69
  • 1.1047
  • GBP
  • 58.96
  • 1.2602
  • USD
  • 46.79
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.94
  • 3.6160
The Shared currency consolidated losses below $1.1600 on dismal European economic data, All eyes on Fed's tapering tonight.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency dived to $1.1583 on sluggish prints of October's final manufacturing PMIs for Germany, France and the Eurozone, while receding chatters over the European Central Bank's tighter monetary policy weighed heavily on the Euro.

 

GBP/USD
The Pound Sterling hammered to $1.3629 on growing uncertainty about whether the Bank of England will raise interest rates at its policy meeting on Thursday.

 

USD/JPY
The yen lost ground to 113.84 against the greenback on a closed Japanese market ahead of today's Federal Reserve policy meeting. Markets expect U.S policymakers to announce their intentions to begin tapering their USD 120 billion monthly bond purchases.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar plunged to $0.7437 after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left interest rates unchanged at 0.10% and abandoned its yield curve control. The RBA also repeated that rates would remain low, seeing the Australian dollar finish as the worst-performing major on Tuesday.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar tumbled to1.2417 against its U.S. counterpart this morning, as oil prices fell and investors grew cautious ahead of an expected reduction of economic stimulus by the Federal Reserve.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand languished to 15.40 per U.S dollar on a broad-based sell-off across emerging market currencies, as investors bet elevated U.S. inflation could lead the Federal Reserve to tighten policy sooner than signal.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee climbed by 5 cents to 43.10(selling) on U.S dollar strength before the Federal Open Market Committee meeting tonight.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

13:30 - GBP - Services PMI

13:30 - GBP - Composite PMI
16:15 - USD - ADP Nonfarm employment change (Oct)

18:0 - USD - ISM - Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct)

18:30 - USD - Crude Oil Inventories

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1641
1.3725
114.92
15.54
R2
1.1627
1.3699
114.53
15.26
R1
1.1603
1.3657
114.24
15.13
PP
1.1589
13631
113.85
14.88
S1
1.1565
1.3589
113.56
14.83
S2
1.1551
1.3563
113.17
14.67
S3
1.1527
1.3521
112.88
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
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  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.