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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 8 November 2021

I always define my risk, and I don’t have to worry about it.

Tony Saliba
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
03 May 2024
  • AUD
  • 31.03
  • 0.6638
  • BWP
  • 3.36
  • 0.0720
  • CAD
  • 34.49
  • 1.3553
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1406
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8459
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0787
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.6974
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0550
  • JPY
  • 30.90
  • 151.2966
  • KES
  • 35.26
  • 132.5927
  • NZD
  • 28.16
  • 0.6023
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.7493
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3393
  • ZAR
  • 2.60
  • 17.9742
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7042
  • CHF
  • 51.73
  • 1.1065
  • GBP
  • 58.96
  • 1.2613
  • USD
  • 46.75
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.93
  • 3.6160
The greenback failed to capitalize on strong U.S. job report
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency initially slipped $1.1511 after data showed stronger U.S. job growth than expected in October, but later retreated to $1.1560 as risk appetite improved.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable extended its slide to $1.3482 on BoE's interest rates decision last week combined with Governor Andrew Bailey's cautious stance continue to weigh on the pair.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen modestly gained to 113.58 against the U.S dollar after Bank of Japan's policymakers acknowledged earlier today that inflationary pressure was rising due to higher energy prices but believed it was moderate and monetary easing should be maintained.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar sidelined at $0.74 as the market awaits the next domestic catalyst in Aussie jobs this Thursday.

 

USD/CAD
The loonie hardly budged at 1.2457 versus the greenback following solid US & Canadian labour reports failed to stir the pair.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand firmed at 14.98 per U.S dollar after a volatile week with price swings driven by domestic politics and US monetary policy.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed put at 43.15(selling) on the domestic market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

19:30 - USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks

21:00 - GBP - BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1648
1.3612
114.57
15.54
R2
1.1610
1.3561
114.29
15.26
R1
1.1589
1.3528
113.85
15.13
PP
1.1551
1.3477
113.57
14.88
S1
1.1530
1.3444
113.13
14.83
S2
1.1492
1.339
112.85
14.67
S3
1.1471
1.3360
112.41
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.