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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 4 March 2022

Never, ever argue with your trading system

Michael Covel
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
18 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.55
  • 0.6504
  • BWP
  • 3.46
  • 0.0738
  • CAD
  • 34.43
  • 1.3642
  • CNY
  • 6.58
  • 7.1369
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.8835
  • EUR
  • 50.41
  • 1.0732
  • HKD
  • 6.09
  • 7.7142
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.2069
  • JPY
  • 30.79
  • 152.5363
  • KES
  • 36.08
  • 130.1709
  • NZD
  • 28.05
  • 0.5972
  • NOK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7550
  • SGD
  • 34.90
  • 1.3459
  • ZAR
  • 2.55
  • 18.3894
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7728
  • CHF
  • 51.95
  • 1.1061
  • GBP
  • 58.86
  • 1.2531
  • USD
  • 46.97
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.99
  • 3.6158
The Shared currency plunged after Europe’s largest nuclear power plant in Ukraine was attacked by Russia.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency extended its slide to $1.1030 after news hit the wires that Russia attacked Europe's largest nuclear power plant in Ukraine.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable pressured down to $1.3341 despite chatters over UK PM Johnson's retreat from triggering Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before Stormont's elections.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen modestly gained to 115.44 against the U.S dollar after local data released earlier in the day showed better than expected jobs/applications ratio and the unemployment rate data.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar darted higher to $0.7355 on better than estimated Australian retail sales.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie took a bath to 1.2689 against the greenback after reports began circulating that there could be a deal on returning the United States to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and removing sanctions on its oil exports, offering the prospect of some relief for the loss of Russian supplies.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand rose to 15.25 per U.S dollar buoyed by positive local company earnings.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee pierced by 10 cents to 44.35(Selling).

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

17:30 - USD - Unemployment Rate (Feb)

17:30 - USD - Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb)

19:00 - CAD - Ivey PMI (Feb)

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00%-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
16-Mar-2022
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
31-Mar-2022
Bank of England
0.50%
03-Feb-2022
17-Mar-2022
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
18-Mar-2022
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
01-Mar-2022
S.Africa Reserve Bank
4.00%
28-Jan-2022
24-Mar-2022
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
-
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1202
1.3505
116.14
15.77
R2
1.1162
1.3462
115.97
15.66
R1
1.1114
1.3405
115.72
15.48
PP
1.1074
1.3362
115.55
15.37
S1
1.1026
1.3305
115.30
15.16
S2
1.0986
1.3262
115.13
15.04
S3
1.0938
1.3205
114.88
14.86
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
Technical Outlook of the week - NZDCHF Scenario 1:
Chart updated on 04.03.2022

After bouncing back from key resistance level 0.6262 from the upside as per our last forecast (see below) , NZDCHF sworn down to 0.6144 but lacked sufficient selling pressure to continue its downtrend.

It appears that final wave Y of W-X-Y correction is quite complex and there might be 2 scenarios popping up in the near term.

Scenario 1 : we could have reached final wave ‘e’ before downtrend resumes. (As per Elliott wave principle a triangle can be formed as final wave C of wave Y  of  W-X-Y correction)

                      Key resistance level is wave ‘e’ of barrier triangle of wave C – 0.6259.

Technical Outlook of the week - NZDCHF Scenario 2:
Chart posted on 04.03.2022
Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.