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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 9 November 2021

The hard part is discipline, patience and judgement.

Seth Klarman
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
03 May 2024
  • AUD
  • 31.03
  • 0.6638
  • BWP
  • 3.36
  • 0.0720
  • CAD
  • 34.49
  • 1.3553
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1406
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8459
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0787
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.6974
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0550
  • JPY
  • 30.90
  • 151.2966
  • KES
  • 35.26
  • 132.5927
  • NZD
  • 28.16
  • 0.6023
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.7493
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3393
  • ZAR
  • 2.60
  • 17.9742
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7042
  • CHF
  • 51.73
  • 1.1065
  • GBP
  • 58.96
  • 1.2613
  • USD
  • 46.75
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.93
  • 3.6160
The Shared currency extended gains to $1.1605, speech from major central bankers eyed.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency sailed higher to $1.1605 ahead of ZEW sentiment numbers for Eurozone and Germany and speeches from the Chiefs of the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable shot up to $1.3577 shrugging off fears concerning Brexit and the UK’s coronavirus conditions, BOE’s Bailey speech eyed.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen extended gains to 112.76 against the U.S dollar following Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida commented earlier today that he wants to compile an economic stimulus package on November 19 and an extra budget to fund the spending by the end of this month.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar modestly gained to $0.7420 on upbeat trade numbers from China earlier today.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie meandered at 1.2440 against the U.S dollar uninspired by higher crude oil prices.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand rose to 14.91 per U.S dollar as investors' risk appetite improved ahead of Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana's maiden medium-term budget speech this week.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee idled at 43.15(selling) on the domestic market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

14:00 - EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Nov)

17:00 - EUR - ECB President Lagarde Sepaks

17:30 - USD - PPI (MoM) (Oct)

18:00 - USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks

20:00 - GBP- BoE Gov Bailey Speaks 

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1649
1.3745
114.16
15.54
R2
1.1622
1.3662
113.91
15.26
R1
1.1605
1.3615
113.57
15.13
PP
1.1578
1.3532
113.92
14.88
S1
1.1561
1.3485
113.98
14.83
S2
1.1534
1.3402
112.73
14.67
S3
1.1517
1.3355
112.39
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.