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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 7 December 2021

Accepting losses is the most important single investment device to ensure the safety of capital

Gerald M. Loeb
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
03 May 2024
  • AUD
  • 31.03
  • 0.6638
  • BWP
  • 3.36
  • 0.0720
  • CAD
  • 34.49
  • 1.3553
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1406
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8459
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0787
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.6974
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0550
  • JPY
  • 30.90
  • 151.2966
  • KES
  • 35.26
  • 132.5927
  • NZD
  • 28.16
  • 0.6023
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.7493
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3393
  • ZAR
  • 2.60
  • 17.9742
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7042
  • CHF
  • 51.73
  • 1.1065
  • GBP
  • 58.96
  • 1.2613
  • USD
  • 46.75
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.93
  • 3.6160
The U.S dollar tripped against the Rupee following intervention from the Bank of Mauritius on the domestic market.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency extended losses to $1.1287 after German manufacturing orders fell much more than expected in October, further clouding manufacturers' growth outlook in Europe's largest economy.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable soared to $1.3281 after Bank of England Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent warned Britain's tight labour market would add pressure on inflation, reigniting some hopes for an interest rate hike.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen slipped to 113.64 versus the greenback as market sentiment improved in hopes of finding a cure for Omicron escalation.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar trimmed previous day's losses to $0.7070 after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept the benchmark rate unchanged at 0.1% and the weekly bond purchases of $4.0 billion intact until at least mid-February 2022 earlier today.

 

USD/CAD
The Commodity linked Loonie climbed to 1.2740 against the U.S dollar amid a pickup in crude oil prices.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand firmed at 15.87 per U.S dollar on signs that Omicron coronavirus variant driving a fourth wave of COVID-19 infections in the country may be causing mainly mild infections.

 

USD/MUR
The greenback tripped by 8 cents to 43.42(selling) following intervention from the Bank of Mauritius on the domestic market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

14:00 - EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment 

19:00 - CAD - Ivey PMI (Nov)

 

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00%-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1354
1.3363
114.46
16.13
R2
1.13333
1.3324
114.01
15.90
R1
1.1309
1.3295
113.75
15.78
PP
1.1288
1.3256
113.30
15.67
S1
1.1264
1.3227
113.04
15.43
S2
1.1243
1.3188
112.59
15.21
S3
1.1219
1.3159
112.33
14.85
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.