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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 6 August 2021

Do more of what works and less of what doesn’t.

Steve Clark
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
The South African Rand on tenterhooks on Finance Minister Mboweni resignation.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency is on the backfoot at $1.1822 in the wake of U.S Federal Vice Chair man Richard Clarida's hawkish comments this week that conditions for a rate hike could be met in late 2022, while U.S Non-farm payrolls loom.

 

GBP/USD
The cable barely dropped to $1.3922 after the Bank of England left policy settings untouched but outlined a path to tapering and tightening over years to come.

 

USD/JPY
The yen lost its attractiveness to 109.81 against the greenback as a record case of delta variant reported in Japan coupled with the head of the Japan Medical Association asked for a nationwide state of emergency.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar edged lower to $0.7387, ignoring cautious optimism cited in the Reserve Bank of Australia’s quarterly Monetary Policy Statement earlier today.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie trimmed previous day losses to 1.2508 versus the U.S dollar on oil price rebound and ahead of Canadian employment data later today.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand plummeted to 14.73 before retreating to 14.52 after South African President Cyril Ramaphosa on Thursday appointed the Development Bank of Southern Africa's chair, Enoch Godongwana, as finance minister in a cabinet reshuffle, replacing Tito Mboweni who had asked to be excused from his position.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed put at 42.95(Selling).

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

16:30 - USD - Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul)

16:30 - USD - Unemployment Rate (Jul)

16:30 - CAD - Employment Change (Jul)

18:00 - CAD - IVEY PMI (Jul)

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
28-Jul-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
22-Jul-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
05-Aug-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
16-Jul-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
06-Jul-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
06-Aug-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1878
1.4036
110.29
14.99
R2
1.1868
1.3992
110.04
14.81
R1
1.1849
1.3960
109.91
14.62
PP
1.1839
1.3916
109.66
14.57
S1
1.1820
1.3884
109.53
14.22
S2
1.1810
1.3840
109.28
14.13
S3
1.1771
1.3808
109.15
13.99
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.