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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 5 August 2021

“If you can learn to create a state of mind that is not affected by the market’s behaviour, the struggle will cease to exist.

Mark Douglas
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
The Pound Sterling retreated to $1.3992 ahead of BoE super Thursday,
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency nose-dived from a high of $1.1900 to $1.1836 after US Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida hinted at an interests rate hike in 2023, on the surprising pace of the economic recovery coronavirus pandemic.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable retreated to $1.3992 ahead of BoE's interest rate decision later today.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen plummeted to 109.69 against the greenback as Japan marks record infections with 90% Tokyo cases being of Delta covid variant.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar sidelined at $0.7393 on mixed Aussie trade numbers in the Asian session.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar inched up to 1.2528 versus the U.S dollar despite the fall in the Crude oil prices amid demand concerns on the rapid spread of the delta variant and surprise build-up in US crude stock.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand lost ground to 14.36 as the U.S dollar recovered, with currency markets also nervous ahead of U.S. jobs data on Friday, the key to the U.S. central bank's policy stance.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee climbed by 5 cents to 42.95(Selling) on the back of U.S dollar strength across the board.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

12:30 - GBP - Construction PMI (Jul)

15:00 - GBP - BoE Interest Rate Decision (Aug)

15:00 - GBP - BoE MPC Meeting Minutes

16:30 - USD - Initial Jobless Claims

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
28-Jul-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
22-Jul-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
05-Aug-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
16-Jul-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
06-Jul-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
06-Aug-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1947
1.4009
110.83
14.99
R2
1.1924
1.3983
110.25
14.81
R1
1.1880
1.3937
109.87
14.62
PP
1.1857
1.3911
109.29
14.57
S1
1.1813
1.3865
108.91
14.22
S2
1.1790
1.3939
108.33
14.13
S3
1.1746
1.3793
107.95
13.99
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.