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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 30 July 2021

The only way you can succeed is to override the obstacles in your path.

Frederick Douglass
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
25 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.77
  • 0.6565
  • BWP
  • 3.43
  • 0.0733
  • CAD
  • 34.51
  • 1.3581
  • CNY
  • 6.56
  • 7.1473
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8649
  • EUR
  • 50.42
  • 1.0758
  • HKD
  • 6.08
  • 7.7125
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0612
  • JPY
  • 30.50
  • 153.6760
  • KES
  • 35.48
  • 132.1115
  • NZD
  • 28.10
  • 0.5994
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7536
  • SGD
  • 34.80
  • 1.3468
  • ZAR
  • 2.52
  • 18.6007
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7251
  • CHF
  • 51.57
  • 1.1003
  • GBP
  • 58.71
  • 1.2526
  • USD
  • 46.87
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.96
  • 3.6157
U.S dollar weeping as U.S data disappoints.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency soared to $1.1877, on comments from European Central Bank's Vice President Luis de Guindos and ECB Strategy Meeting Accounts favored mildly strong inflation while staying cautiously optimistic over growth numbers.

 

GBP/USD
Pound vaulted to $1.3982 after the reports surfaced that UK scraped quarantine status for fully vaccinated EU and US visitors, but retreated to $1.3938 over Brexit woes over Northern Ireland protocol.

 

USD/JPY
Yen surged to 109.35 per dollar, following Bank of Japan board member Asahi Noguchi's interview that the BoJ may be able to begin the debate on strategy for hitting the price target toward the end of the year.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie bolstered to 1.2430 against the greenback, buoyed by speech from Bank of Canada Governor Macklem that “ the cost of living will not rise out of control as the economy reopens from the COVID-19 pandemic”.

 

AUD/USD
Aussie tumbled to $0.7385, on reports that China told foreign brokerages not to "overinterpret" its latest regulatory action on Thursday, shrugging off upbeat Australia’s Q2 Producer Price Index this morning.

 

USD/ZAR
Rand vaulted to 14.57 per dollar on rising US Jobless Claims, softer-than-expected GDP and disappointing housing data.

 

USD/MUR
The domestic pair unchanged at 42.95(selling), unabated by U.S dollar weakness.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

12:00 - EUR -  German GDP (QoQ)(Q2)

13:00 - EUR - CPI (YoY)(Jul)

16:30 - CAD - GDP (MoM)(May)

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
28-Jul-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
22-Jul-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
05-Aug-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
16-Jul-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
06-Jul-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
06-Aug-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1958
1.4078
110.34
14.99
R2
1.1926
1.4030
110.14
14.81
R1
1.1906
1.3994
109.81
14.62
PP
1.1874
1.3946
109.62
14.57
S1
1.1854
1.3911
109.29
14.51
S2
1.1821
1.3863
109.09
14.45
S3
1.1802
1.3827
108.76
14.33
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.