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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 2 August 2021

It's hard to know what the market is going to do, if you don't know what you are going to do, the game is lost

Alexander Elder
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
25 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.77
  • 0.6565
  • BWP
  • 3.43
  • 0.0733
  • CAD
  • 34.51
  • 1.3581
  • CNY
  • 6.56
  • 7.1473
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8649
  • EUR
  • 50.42
  • 1.0758
  • HKD
  • 6.08
  • 7.7125
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0612
  • JPY
  • 30.50
  • 153.6760
  • KES
  • 35.48
  • 132.1115
  • NZD
  • 28.10
  • 0.5994
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7536
  • SGD
  • 34.80
  • 1.3468
  • ZAR
  • 2.52
  • 18.6007
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7251
  • CHF
  • 51.57
  • 1.1003
  • GBP
  • 58.71
  • 1.2526
  • USD
  • 46.87
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.96
  • 3.6157
The dollar-rupee lowered by 5 cents to 42.90(Selling) after the intervention of Bank of Mauritius.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency held on gains to $1.1873 after Eurozone data caught forecasters by surprise on Friday, as the region’s second-quarter economic growth rate came in at a robust 13.7% year/year, even better than the predicted 13.2% and compared with a 1.3% contraction previously.

 

GBP/USD
The Pound sterling is on the back foot at $1.3807 ahead of U.K's PMI data later today, amid the Bank of England rate decision meeting is scheduled on Thursday.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen slipped to 109.67 per U.S dollar after reports surfaced that Japan proposed states of emergency through August 31st in three prefectures near Olympics host Tokyo, as coronavirus infections spiked to records.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar extended losses to $0.7344 ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy decision on Tuesday, where it is widely expected to reverse its previous decision to begin asset tapering.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie dropped to 1.2473 against the greenback on mixed US macro data, while Canadian positive GDP data failed to provide any meaningful impetus.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand ticked down to 14.63 as domestic upbeat trade data on Friday had little impact on rand trading.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee lowered by 5 cents to 42.90(Selling) on back intervention from the central bank.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

11:55 - EUR - German Manufacturing PMI (Jul)

12:30 - GBP - Manufacturing PMI (Jul)

18:00 - USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul)

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
28-Jul-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
22-Jul-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
05-Aug-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
16-Jul-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
06-Jul-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
06-Aug-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1960
1.4061
110.34
14.99
R2
1.1935
1.4023
110.09
14.81
R1
1.1903
1.3965
109.87
14.62
PP
1.1878
1.3927
109.62
14.57
S1
1.1846
1.3869
109.40
14.51
S2
1.1821
1.3831
109.15
14.45
S3
1.1789
1.3773
108.93
14.33
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.