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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 21 October 2021

Don't wait for better investment options, invest and then wait for better time

Ankit Samrat
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
26 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.81
  • 0.6583
  • BWP
  • 3.44
  • 0.0736
  • CAD
  • 34.56
  • 1.3545
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1468
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8533
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0774
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.7145
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0087
  • JPY
  • 30.36
  • 154.1916
  • KES
  • 35.30
  • 132.5951
  • NZD
  • 28.14
  • 0.6011
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7396
  • SGD
  • 34.76
  • 1.3465
  • ZAR
  • 2.54
  • 18.4356
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7346
  • CHF
  • 51.60
  • 1.1024
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2560
  • USD
  • 46.81
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.95
  • 3.6161
The dollar-rupee riveted at 43.05(selling) by the central bank
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency sidelined at $1.1651 after inflation figures in the Eurozone came in line with expectations.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable remained firm at $1.3811 on perceptions that the Bank of England will raise interest rates as soon as next month to curb inflation, despite softer-than-expected U.K. price data on Wednesday.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen remained cautious at 114 against the U.S. dollar as traders awaiting for the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and Fed's Offical's speeches to gauge the market sentiment.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar extended its winning streak to $0.7501, ignoring downbeat sentiment data from the National Australia Bank.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie rose to 1.2328 versus the U.S. dollar on the back of higher-than-expected Canadian inflation data.

 

USD/ZAR
South African bolstered to 14.42 per U.S dollar after local data showing consumer price inflation quickened slightly to 5.0% last month.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed put at 43.05(selling) post Bank of Mauritius intervention on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

16:30 - USD - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

16:30 - USD - Initial Jobless Claim

18:00 - USD - Existing Home Sales (Sep)

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1710
1.3952
115.27
15.24
R2
1.1684
1.3893
114.98
15.08
R1
1.1668
1.3859
114.66
14.92
PP
1.1642
1.3800
114.37
14.88
S1
1.1626
1.3766
114.05
14.83
S2
1.1600
1.3707
113.76
14.67
S3
1.1548
1.3673
113.44
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.