Internet Banking
Click icon again to close

Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 20 October 2021

The fundamental law of investing is the uncertainty of the future.

Peter Bernstein
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
23 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.68
  • 0.6522
  • BWP
  • 3.45
  • 0.0733
  • CAD
  • 34.62
  • 1.3589
  • CNY
  • 6.58
  • 7.1457
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.8986
  • EUR
  • 50.38
  • 1.0709
  • HKD
  • 6.09
  • 7.7204
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0223
  • JPY
  • 30.75
  • 152.9787
  • KES
  • 35.74
  • 131.6321
  • NZD
  • 28.10
  • 0.5974
  • NOK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7565
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3474
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.5665
  • SEK
  • 4.39
  • 10.7267
  • CHF
  • 51.90
  • 1.1034
  • GBP
  • 58.40
  • 1.2415
  • USD
  • 47.04
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.01
  • 3.6157
The Japanese yen nosedived to 114.58 per U.S dollar for the first time since 2017
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Single currency sidelined at $1.1649 as the market awaits the German Inflation Rate and Eurozone Consumer Price Index later today.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable lifted to $1.3808 on BoE rate hike prospects although UK CPI missed estimates.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen rumbled to 114.54 against the U.S dollar on back of a global shares rally that decreased demand for safe-haven assets.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar sailed higher to $0.7491 on easing coronavirus fears at home.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie traded flat at 1.2342 versus the greenback although upbeat prices of Canada’s key export item, WTI crude oil.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand rose to 14.52 per U.S dollar, gaining back some ground lost a day earlier thanks to a softer dollar.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed idled at 43.05(selling) this morning.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

13:00 - EUR - CPI (YoY) (Sep)

16:30 - CAD - Core CPI (MoM) (Sep)

18:30 - USD - Crude Oil Inventories

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1725
1.3951
115.07
15.24
R2
1.1697
1.3892
114.74
15.08
R1
1.1665
1.3842
114.56
14.92
PP
1.1637
1.3783
114.23
14.88
S1
1.1605
1.3733
114.05
14.83
S2
1.1577
1.3674
113.72
14.67
S3
1.1545
1.3624
113.35
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.