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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 2 December 2021

You'll be pleasantly surprised with what you find on the other side of fear.

Lillian Colon
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
26 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.81
  • 0.6583
  • BWP
  • 3.44
  • 0.0736
  • CAD
  • 34.56
  • 1.3545
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1468
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8533
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0774
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.7145
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0087
  • JPY
  • 30.36
  • 154.1916
  • KES
  • 35.30
  • 132.5951
  • NZD
  • 28.14
  • 0.6011
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7396
  • SGD
  • 34.76
  • 1.3465
  • ZAR
  • 2.54
  • 18.4356
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7346
  • CHF
  • 51.60
  • 1.1024
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2560
  • USD
  • 46.81
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.95
  • 3.6161
U.S dollar treaded water after Fed Powell reiterated a faster taper stimulus.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency hovered above $1.1300 as Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated yesterday his inflation fears but advocated that inflation will come down “meaningfully” in the second half of 2022.


GBP/USD
The British pound steadied above $1.3288 despite mounting doubts on whether the Bank of England will raise interest rates at a policy meeting this month.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen climbed to 112.66 last night before timing some gains to 113.08 as Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester made some hawkish comments on speeding up the taper and likely rates in the next year.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar weakened to 1.2811 against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday, giving back its earlier gains as a rebound in oil petered out and investor appetite for risk remained fragile.

 

AUD/USD
Aussie plummeted below $0.71, on mixed domestic Australia Trade Balance as exports improve in October but imports contract further.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand tumbled from 15.73 to 16.01 although South African manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in November on positive business activity and new sales orders.

 

USD/MUR
The local pair stayed unchanged at 43.42(selling) on the Mauritian market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

17:30 - USD - Initial Jobless Claims

 

 

 

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00%-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1403
1.3414
114.36
16.13
R2
1.1381
1.3383
113.99
15.90
R1
1.1346
1.3324
113.40
15.78
PP
1.1324
1.3293
113.04
15.67
S1
1.1289
1.3234
112.44
15.43
S2
1.1267
1.3203
112.08
15.21
S3
1.1232
1.3144
111.49
14.85
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.