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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 3 December 2021

I am not better than the next trader, just quicker at admitting my mistakes and moving on to the next opportunity.

George Soros
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
23 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.68
  • 0.6522
  • BWP
  • 3.45
  • 0.0733
  • CAD
  • 34.62
  • 1.3589
  • CNY
  • 6.58
  • 7.1457
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.8986
  • EUR
  • 50.38
  • 1.0709
  • HKD
  • 6.09
  • 7.7204
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0223
  • JPY
  • 30.75
  • 152.9787
  • KES
  • 35.74
  • 131.6321
  • NZD
  • 28.10
  • 0.5974
  • NOK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7565
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3474
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.5665
  • SEK
  • 4.39
  • 10.7267
  • CHF
  • 51.90
  • 1.1034
  • GBP
  • 58.40
  • 1.2415
  • USD
  • 47.04
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.01
  • 3.6157
U.S dollar teetered against other majors ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data for November.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The euro lingered around $1.1300 despite U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on the need to tame inflation bolstered bets for faster monetary policy tightening.

 

GBP/USD
Sterling wobbled at $1.3287 on reports that Irish Foreign Minister Coveney signalled no Brexit deal over the Northern Ireland protocol during 2021, while Northern Ireland Secretary Lewis is optimistic about reaching an agreement but also cited the odds of triggering Article 16.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen firmed around 113.09 against the greenback, amid cautious sentiment ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data for November.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar seesawed around 1.2823 per dollar, waiting for fresh impetus from the Canadian employment report for November today.

 

AUD/USD
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar plummeted to $0.7064 after the spread of the Omicron variant clouded the outlook for global growth just as markets were pricing at a faster pace of U.S. rate hikes.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand ticked down to 15.96 per dollar as the Omicron coronavirus variant established itself as the dominant strain in South Africa.

 

USD/MUR
The domestic pair inched by 5 cents to 43.47(selling) in the FX market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

12:30 - EUR - ECB President Lagarde Speaks

13:30 - GBP - Composite PMI (Nov)

13:30 - GBP - Services PMI (Nov)

17:30 - USD - Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov)

17:30 - USD - Unemployment Rate (Nov)

17:30 - CAD - Employment Change (Nov)

19:00 - USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00%-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1385
1.3406
114.15
16.13
R2
1.1366
1.3369
113.74
15.90
R1
1.1332
1.3334
113.46
15.78
PP
1.1314
1.3299
113.05
15.67
S1
1.1280
1.3264
112.77
15.43
S2
1.1262
1.3229
112.36
15.21
S3
1.1228
1.3194
112.08
14.85
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.