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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 13 August 2021

Everyone has to wake up every single day and out-execute their competitors.

Carter Reum
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
U.S dollar jostled against a basket of currencies on upbeat U.S producer prices.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency fell to $1.1722 before recovering to $1.1740 on Thursday after U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in July, suggesting inflation could remain high as strong demand fuelled by the recovery continues to hurt supply chains.

 

GBP/USD
Sterling plunged to $1.3814 on speculation that the Bank of England would make no moves in its monetary policy after official data showed Britain's economy grew in line with expectations in the second quarter.

 

USD/JPY
Japanese yen loitered around 110.40 against the greenback as investors assessed the impact of the slower vaccination program on the pace of economic recovery.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie inched lower to 1.2517 per dollar on rumours that Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau is planning to call a snap election for Sept. 20.

 

AUD/USD
Aussie hammered to $0.7339 as market sentiment dwindled, as vaccine optimism fails to overcome Covid infections in Queensland and Victoria that clung to the recent highs.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand lost ground to 14.78 per greenback on Thursday as data showing a steady U.S. job market recovery and a rise in producer prices added fuel to debate over whether the Federal Reserve could tighten monetary policy sooner than expected.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee remained stagnant at 42.95(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time
Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
22-Sep-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
09-Sep-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
23-Sep-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
21-Sep-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Sep-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1769
1.3943
110.76
14.91
R2
1.1759
1.3911
110.65
14.78
R1
1.1744
1.3859
110.53
14.71
PP
1.1734
1.3827
110.42
14.66
S1
1.1720
1.3775
110.30
14.61
S2
1.1709
1.3743
110.20
14.52
S3
1.1695
1.3692
110.07
14.21
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.