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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 12 August 2021

The best way to grow is to recycle capital into new projects.

Michael Polsky
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
26 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.81
  • 0.6583
  • BWP
  • 3.44
  • 0.0736
  • CAD
  • 34.56
  • 1.3545
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1468
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8533
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0774
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.7145
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0087
  • JPY
  • 30.36
  • 154.1916
  • KES
  • 35.30
  • 132.5951
  • NZD
  • 28.14
  • 0.6011
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7396
  • SGD
  • 34.76
  • 1.3465
  • ZAR
  • 2.54
  • 18.4356
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7346
  • CHF
  • 51.60
  • 1.1024
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2560
  • USD
  • 46.81
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.95
  • 3.6161
U.S dollar hammered across the board on negative U.S CPI.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency soared to $1.1752, after U.S. Consumer Price Index data rose 0.5 per cent in July for a 5.4-per cent year-over-year gain.

 

GBP/USD
The pound surged to $1.3888 on comments from Lord and former Tory MEP Hannan that "Britain has successfully managed the vaccine purchase program while the EU messed it up quite badly, in its first real test of post-Brexit challenge."

 

USD/JPY
Yen shouted to 110.40 per dollar, despite global rating giant Fitch downgraded Japan's long-term foreign currency Issuer Default Rating at 'A' with a negative outlook.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie climbed to 1.2504 per dollar as WTI crude oil’s rebound exerts an additional downside burden on the quote.

 

AUD/USD
Aussie bolstered to $0.7389, amid a mild risk-on mood on Treasury Secretary Yellen' meeting with Chinese counterparts.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand vaulted to 14.64 against a weaker dollar on Wednesday after data showing U.S. consumer prices rose at a slower pace in July eased concerns that the Federal Reserve would taper its economic support sooner than expected.

 

USD/MUR
The local pair is unchanged at 42.95(Selling).

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

10:00 - GBP - GDP(YoY)(Q2)

10:00 - GBP - GDP(QoQ)(Q2)

10:00 - GBP - Manufacturing Production (MoM)

10:00 - GBP - Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change

16:30 - USD - Initial Jobless Claims

16:30 - USD - PP1(MoM)(Jul)

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
22-Sep-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
09-Sep-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
23-Sep-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
21-Sep-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Sep-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1808
1.3986
111.21
14.91
R2
1.1781
1.3937
111.00
14.78
R1
1.1760
1.3901
110.71
14.71
PP
1.1733
1.3852
110.51
14.66
S1
1.1712
1.3816
110.22
14.61
S2
1.1685
1.3767
110.02
14.52
S3
1.1664
1.3731
109.72
14.21
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.