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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 12 October 2021

What's good about the word 'no' is it's a complete sentence.

Amy Poehler
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
26 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.81
  • 0.6583
  • BWP
  • 3.44
  • 0.0736
  • CAD
  • 34.56
  • 1.3545
  • CNY
  • 6.55
  • 7.1468
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8533
  • EUR
  • 50.43
  • 1.0774
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.7145
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0087
  • JPY
  • 30.36
  • 154.1916
  • KES
  • 35.30
  • 132.5951
  • NZD
  • 28.14
  • 0.6011
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7396
  • SGD
  • 34.76
  • 1.3465
  • ZAR
  • 2.54
  • 18.4356
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7346
  • CHF
  • 51.60
  • 1.1024
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2560
  • USD
  • 46.81
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.95
  • 3.6161
USD/JPY rocketed to a fresh three-year high, amid sustained U.S dollar buying interest on tapering expectation..
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency hovered around $1.1555, as European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane ignored the recent bout of inflation as a trigger for monetary policy.

 

GBP/USD
The British pound lost ground from a 12-day high at $1.3674 to $1.3593 over surging energy price concerns and renewed Brexit changes over Northern Ireland protocol.

 

USD/JPY
Yen hit a fresh three-year low on Tuesday at 113.50 per dollar, on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce a tapering of its bond purchases next month, coupled with Japan's wholesale prices surged 6.3% in September from a year earlier.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar steadied at its two-month high of 1.2446 per dollar as oil prices surged on Monday to multi-year peaks, fueled by the rebound in global demand over concerns of global supply-chain backlogs.

 

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar firmed at  $0.7352, supported by strong commodities prices and a partial reopening of Sydney, Australia's largest city.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand slammed to 15.09 against the greenback after South African business confidence, retail sales and manufacturing output declined on Monday.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed put at 43.05(selling) on the domestic market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

10:00 - GBP - Average Earnings Index + Bonus (Aug)

10:00 - GBP - Claimant Count Change (Sep)

13:00 - EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)

18:00 - USD - JOLTs Job Openings (Aug)

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1614
1.3741
115.00
15.24
R2
1.1600
1.3708
114.21
15.08
R1
1.1576
1.3652
113.75
14.92
PP
1.1563
1.3618
112.95
14.88
S1
1.1539
1.3562
112.49
14.83
S2
1.1525
1.3529
111.70
14.67
S3
1.1501
1.3473
111.24
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.