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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 11 October 2021

When we realize that every mind is valuable, we create a world where no mind is limited. 

Kabir Nath
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
USD/MUR bolstered to 43.05(selling) in the wake of Bank of Mauritius' intervention on the domestic market.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency fizzled out from $1.1610 to $1.1575 amid growing fears of reflation, and after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on Friday that rising energy prices and supply disruptions in Europe could hold back growth.

 

GBP/USD
The British pound soared to $1.3695, on growing expectations that the Bank of England could raise interest rates to curb soaring inflation, as Bank of England Governor Bailey warned of a potentially "very damaging" period of inflation unless policymakers take any action.

 

USD/JPY
Japanese yen nosedived to a 2-1/2-year high at 112.72 per dollar, although downbeat non-farm payrolls data as the U.S. economy created the fewest jobs in nine months in September.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar vaulted to a two-month high of 1.2451 per dollar, buoyed by surprisingly Canadian solid payrolls data and lofty oil prices.

 

AUD/USD
Risk-sensitive Aussie jostled to $0.7330 on the back of higher commodity prices together with easing of coronavirus restrictions in the country's most populated state New South Wales.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand firmed at 14.97 against the dollar on a mixed U.S. jobs report on Friday, which could prevent the Federal Reserve from starting to taper its asset purchases as early as November.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee rallied to 43.05(selling) in the wake of the Bank of Mauritius' intervention to sell U.S dollars on Friday, 10 cents higher than its last intervention.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time
Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1634
1.3730
113.22
15.24
R2
1.1610
1.3695
112.74
15.08
R1
1.1590
1.3655
112.48
14.92
PP
1.1566
1.3619
112.00
14.88
S1
1.1545
1.3580
111.74
14.83
S2
1.1521
1.3544
111.25
14.67
S3
1.1501
1.3504
110.99
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
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  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.