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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 24 March 2022

“That cotton trade was almost the deal breaker for me. It was at that point that I said, ‘Mr. Stupid, why risk everything on one trade? Why not make your life a pursuit of happiness rather than pain?’”

Paul Tudor Jones
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
The South African rand gained further on expectations of a 25bp rate hike later today
Fundamental News

EUR/USD

The Shared currency renewed intraday low at $1.0980 as investors are waiting  for the European Union (EU) leaders summit, which will also be joined by US President Joe Biden on Thursday to discuss  an embargo on Russian oil. PMI data later to be released during the day.

 

GBP/USD
The cable witnessed a steep fall on Wednesday to trade around $1.3190 as higher UK inflation numbers soured the mood of investors. Market eyes for UK PMI today.

 

USD/JPY

The Japanese yen lost ground this morning to 121.25 after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymakers flagged concerns over inflation but showed readiness to extend an easy-money policy if needed, per the Minutes of the latest BOJ meeting.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar regained traction to trade near its day high of $0.7483 amid rising prices of metals which are bringing more flows to the Australian currency.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie faded slightly this morning to 1.2575 after hitting a low of 1.2540 yesterday as WTI oil prices eases from two week's top as sour sentiment underpins USD strength.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand gained further on expectations of 25bp rate hike later today and was also supported by higher prices of gold, of which South Africa is a major exporter.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee climbed by 10 cents to 44.30 (selling) on stronger USD 

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

13:00 - EUR - Market PMI

13:30 - GBP -Market PMI

16:30 - USD - Jobless Claims

17:45 - USD - Market PMI

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.50%
17-Mar-2022
-
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
31-Mar-2022
Bank of England
0.75%
17-Mar-2022
-
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
18-Mar-2022
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
-
S.Africa Reserve Bank
4.00%
28-Jan-2022
24-Mar-2022
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
-
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1229
1.3335
121.50
16.38
R2
1.1174
1.3300
121.00
15.76
R1
1.1113
1.3275
120.56
15.59
PP
1.1058
1.3200
120.10
15.21
S1
1.0997
1.3127
119.65
14.84
S2
1.0942
1.3076
119.00
14.34
S3
1.0881
1.3041
118.69
14.02
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
Technical Outlook of the week - NZDCHF Scenario 1:
Chart updated on 04.03.2022

After bouncing back from key resistance level 0.6262 from the upside as per our last forecast (see below) , NZDCHF sworn down to 0.6144 but lacked sufficient selling pressure to continue its downtrend.

It appears that final wave Y of W-X-Y correction is quite complex and there might be 2 scenarios popping up in the near term.

Scenario 1 : we could have reached final wave ‘e’ before downtrend resumes. (As per Elliott wave principle a triangle can be formed as final wave C of wave Y  of  W-X-Y correction)

                      Key resistance level is wave ‘e’ of barrier triangle of wave C – 0.6259.

Technical Outlook of the week - NZDCHF Scenario 2:
Chart posted on 04.03.2022
Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.