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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 15th September 2022

Trading doesn't just reveal your character, it also builds it if you stay in the game long enough

Yvan Byeajee
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
24 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.84
  • 0.6580
  • BWP
  • 3.43
  • 0.0732
  • CAD
  • 34.58
  • 1.3552
  • CNY
  • 6.56
  • 7.1461
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8651
  • EUR
  • 50.42
  • 1.0758
  • HKD
  • 6.07
  • 7.7178
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 81.9769
  • JPY
  • 30.62
  • 153.0506
  • KES
  • 35.48
  • 132.1115
  • NZD
  • 28.11
  • 0.5997
  • NOK
  • 4.40
  • 10.6625
  • SGD
  • 34.83
  • 1.3457
  • ZAR
  • 2.54
  • 18.4847
  • SEK
  • 4.40
  • 10.6565
  • CHF
  • 51.73
  • 1.1037
  • GBP
  • 58.66
  • 1.2515
  • USD
  • 46.87
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.96
  • 3.6156
The Shared currency extended losses on rising risks of stagflation for the Euro Zone
Fundamental News

EURUSD
The single currency remained depressed at $0.9960 as risks of stagflation for the Euro Zone deepened while industrial production fell to 2.3%.

 

GBPUSD
The Cable remained pressured towards $1.1500 due to the downbeat U.K. inflation data along with the pessimism surrounding British politics.

 

AUDUSD
The Aussie dollar staged a modest rebound to $0.6748 after data showed continued strength in the country's job market, although unemployment also rose slightly.

 

USDJPY
The Japanese yen rose to 143.43 against the U.S. dollar after reports that the Bank of Japan conducted a rate check on the market in preparation for currency intervention.

 

USDCAD
The Loonie oscillated around 1.3180 against the greenback on the back of a weaker price of oil and headlines surrounding the Sino-American conflict whilst the bulls brace for the U.S. Retail Sales data.

 

USDZAR
South African rand lost ground to 17.50 as investors seek the safety of safe-haven assets due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, and inflation.

 

USDMUR
The dollar-rupee unchanged at 44.55(Selling).

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

16:30 - USD - Core Retail Sales (MoM)(Aug)

16:30 - USD - Retail Sales (MoM)(Aug)

16:30 - USD - Initial Jobless Claims

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
1.75%
04-May-2022
-
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
-
Bank of England
1.75%
01-Jan-0001
-
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
-
Reserve Bank of Australia
1.35%
01-Jan-0001
-
S.Africa Reserve Bank
5.25%
21-Jul-2022
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
-
Bank of Mauritius
2.25%
03-Jun-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.0085
1.1703
146.97
17.81
R2
1.0054
1.1647
145.96
17.13
R1
1.0017
1.1593
144.57
16.98
PP
0.9986
1.1537
143.56
15.74
S1
0.9949
1.1483
142.17
15.14
S2
0.9918
1.1427
141.16
14.41
S3
0.9881
1.1373
139.77
13.99
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EUR/USD Outlook- looking bleak throughout Q3-Q4 2022
Chart updated on 05.07.2022

Past

EUR like a Deer in the headlights.

Euro has been trending lower over the last couple of months in the range of $1.06 and $1.0350. , unable to process and respond to the wicked combination of higher inflation and recession fears.

Current 

Euro  has pierced through key support yesterday and sank to $1.0234, its weakest since December 2002

Forecast

A dip to parity or below is in the cards.

1st target @ 0.9906  78.6% fibo retracement

2nd target @  0.9127  88.6% Fibonacci retracement

Invalidation level @ 0.8221

USD/MUR Outlook One more leg higher before paring some of its gains in Q3-Q4 2022
Chart posted on 05.07.2022

Past

Double zig-zag  upward correction W-X-Y

USD/MUR surged 24% from 37.05 of March 20 to 45.95 as of 6th  July 22

Clear 5-wave structure since Feb 2018

Current

 BOM shocking intervention higher at 45.30, a boon for U.S dollar against the rupee in the coming days.

 

Future

Anticipating Wave (v) of 5 of c of (Y) to end near 47.50, 161% Fibonacci projection

Invalidation Level @ 39.25

EUR/MUR- Bears in control in Q3-Q4 2022
Chart posted on 05.07.2022

Past

After reaching a high of 51.05 (buying TT) in July 2021, the EUR/MUR failed to keep the bullish trend seen in 2020 and 2021 undermined by a falling EUR/USD since 2021.

The pair plummeted to a low of 44.61 on 13th of May 2021 before staging a recovery to 47.78 on 30th June 2022.

 

Future

However, the rebound on the EUR/MUR appeared short-lived as it turned south again this week

The pair could dive in the range of 43.50 and 44.50 in the coming weeks.

Invalidation level @51.05!

 

Chart posted on 01.01.0001
Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.