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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 6 October 2021

The requirement to be successful is giving up the idea that your job is to be right on the first try.

Stewart Butterfield
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
U.S dollar darted higher, vote on U.S. debt ceiling looms.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency plummeted to $1.1583 after European Central bank President Lagarde and Governing Council member, Bank of France Head, Francois Villeroy de Galhau turned down the reflation fears.

 

GBP/USD
British pound fizzled out from $1.3647 to $1.3603, on comments from UK Prime Minister Johnson about the litigating UK fuel crisis, casting it as "abating", as the UK hit back at France over its threat to Britain’s electricity supplies complying with its dispute over fishing rights.

 

USD/JPY
Yen lost ground to 111.75 per dollar on improving risk appetite as U.S. Senate will vote on Wednesday on a Democratic-backed measure to suspend the U.S. debt ceiling as partisan brinkmanship in Congress risks an economically crippling federal credit default.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie tumbled to 1.2607 against its U.S. counterpart amid oil paused near new multi-year highs.

 

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar plunged to $0.7259 on growing worries about fragile growth in China as defaults at Evergrande Group triggered a rout in its shares and bonds on Tuesday with fresh credit rating downgrades.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand cascaded to 15.09 per dollar despite its central bank highlighting inflation risks in a biannual review of its monetary policy stance.

 

USD/MUR
Dollar-rupee remained stagnant at 42.90(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

12:30 - GBP - Construction PMI (Sep)

16:15 - USD - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep)

18:30 - USD - Crude Oil Inventories

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
22-Sep-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
09-Sep-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
23-Sep-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
21-Sep-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Sep-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1662
1.3720
112.42
15.24
R2
1.1642
1.3684
111.99
15.08
R1
1.1620
1.3657
111.73
14.92
PP
1.1600
1.3621
111.30
14.88
S1
1.1578
1.3593
111.01
14.83
S2
1.1559
1.3557
110.61
14.67
S3
1.1537
1.3530
110.35
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.