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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 30 September 2021

It’s not what we do once in a while that shapes our lives. It’s what we do consistently.

Tony Robbins
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
U.S dollar near one year high as Fed prepares for asset tapering
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Single currency dived to $1.1605 on increased expectations for a reduction in the U.S. Federal Reserve's asset purchases starting in November and an interest rate hike, possibly in late 2022.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable hammered to $1.3451 as concerns remain about soaring natural gas prices alongside petrol shortages in the U.K. that have lasted almost a week.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen tumbled to 111.90 against the U.S dollar after Bank of Japan's Governor Haruhiko Kuroda cited weak consumption and lower inflation putting Japan’s economic growth on the backburner.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar lost ground to $0.7250 following the downbeat China official PMI data for August earlier today.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie pressured down to 1.2729 against its U.S. counterpart as oil prices fell and the greenback posted broad-based gains.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand ticked down to 15.11 verus the greenback on increased expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee rose by 5cents to 42.95(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

10:00 - GBP - GDP (YoY) (Q2)

10:00 - GBP - GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

11:55 - EUR - German Unemployment Change (Sep)

16:30 - USD - GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

18:00 - USD - Fed Chair Powell Testifies

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
22-Sep-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
09-Sep-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
23-Sep-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
21-Sep-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Sep-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1762
1.3659
113.12
15.40
R2
1.1726
1.3607
112.59
14.89
R1
1.1661
1.3516
112.28
14.58
PP
1.1625
1.3464
111.75
14.24
S1
1.1560
1.3373
111.44
14.09
S2
1.31524
1.3321
110.91
13.92
S3
1.1459
1.3230
110.60
13.59
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.