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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 26 July 2021

The hard work in trading comes in the preparation. The actual process of trading, however, should be effortless.

Jack Schwager
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
20 Sep 2021
  • AUD
  • 31.22
  • 0.7295
  • BWP
  • 3.91
  • 0.0914
  • CAD
  • 33.73
  • 1.2691
  • CNY
  • 6.71
  • 6.3788
  • DKK
  • 6.84
  • 6.2566
  • EUR
  • 50.31
  • 1.1755
  • HKD
  • 5.59
  • 7.6619
  • INR
  • 0.59
  • 72.6819
  • JPY
  • 39.24
  • 109.0796
  • KES
  • 39.39
  • 108.6531
  • NZD
  • 30.30
  • 0.7080
  • NOK
  • 4.98
  • 8.5866
  • SGD
  • 32.02
  • 1.3367
  • ZAR
  • 2.94
  • 14.5487
  • SEK
  • 4.98
  • 8.5976
  • CHF
  • 46.22
  • 1.0799
  • GBP
  • 58.88
  • 1.3757
  • USD
  • 42.80
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 11.78
  • 3.6323
U.S dollar loitered across the board ahead of directional clues from German Business Climate data and US New Home Sales for June.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency traded flat at $1.1780, showing little reaction to the purchasing manager surveys of France, Germany and the eurozone. Market waiting for the German Business Climate data and US New Home Sales for June to take fresh trading impetus.

 

GBP/USD
The cable seesawed around $1.3755 although the headline UK Retail Sales on Friday recorded a growth of 0.5% in June compared to 0.4% expected.

 

USD/JPY
The yen soared to 110.27 per dollar, shrugging off downbeat Japanese Services PMI this morning.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie was sidelined at 1.2582 per greenback, even after a better-than-expected Canadian retail sales report.

 

AUD/USD
Aussie tumbled to $0.7350 as the risk-off mood intensifies amid tensions surrounding the US-China talks and looming Covid worries in Australia.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand extended a recent slide to 14.85 per dollar as the arson and looting could have a lasting economic impact on the country.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar rupee unchanged at 42.95(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

12:00 - EUR - German Ifo Business Climate Index (Jul)

18:00 - USD - New Home Sales (Jun)

 

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
28-Jul-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
22-Jul-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
05-Aug-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
16-Jul-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
06-Jul-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
06-Aug-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1819
1.3838
111.23
14.78
R2
1.1803
1.3809
110.91
14.65
R1
1.1787
1.3778
110.72
14.61
PP
1.1771
1.3749
110.40
14.51
S1
1.1755
1.3718
110.21
14.43
S2
1.1739
1.3689
109.89
14.30
S3
1.1723
1.3658
109.70
14.08
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Weekly FX Market Analysis by Karishma Sewock Nobutsing on Radio One
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
  • Karishma Sewock Nobutsing
    Senior Dealer - Treasury Sales
    (+230) 5943 9837
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.