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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 24 September 2021

In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield.

Warren Buffet
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
18 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.55
  • 0.6504
  • BWP
  • 3.46
  • 0.0738
  • CAD
  • 34.43
  • 1.3642
  • CNY
  • 6.58
  • 7.1369
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.8835
  • EUR
  • 50.41
  • 1.0732
  • HKD
  • 6.09
  • 7.7142
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.2069
  • JPY
  • 30.79
  • 152.5363
  • KES
  • 36.08
  • 130.1709
  • NZD
  • 28.05
  • 0.5972
  • NOK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7550
  • SGD
  • 34.90
  • 1.3459
  • ZAR
  • 2.55
  • 18.3894
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7728
  • CHF
  • 51.95
  • 1.1061
  • GBP
  • 58.86
  • 1.2531
  • USD
  • 46.97
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.99
  • 3.6158
U.S dollar wept across the board as safe-haven demand fades.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The single currency rebounded from a one-month low at $1.1683 to $1.1743 after U.S. initial jobless claims registered 351,000 in the week ending Sept. 18, following an upward revised level of 335,000 in the prior week.

 

GBP/USD
Sterling jumped out of the blocks to $1.3750, up 0.99% on the day, following the Bank of England monetary policy announcement on Thursday, where it kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.1%. Still, two of its MPC policymakers had voted for an early end to pandemic-era government bond-buying.

 

USD/JPY
Japanese Yen nosedived to 110.44 per dollar on improved risk appetite as Beijing injected fresh cash into its financial system ahead of an $83.5 million bond coupon by embattled property giant Evergrande.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie surged to a high of 1.2635 per dollar, supported by growing fuel demand and a draw in U.S. crude inventories as production remained hampered in the Gulf of Mexico after two hurricanes.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie retreated from daily highs at $0.7316 to $0.7296 in the wake of the International Monetary Fund’s downgrade of Australia's GDP forecast for 2021.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand slumped from a high of 14.55 to 14.75 against the greenback after the South African Reserve Bank left the key interest rate unchanged at a record low of 3.5%, saying the risks to the short-term inflation outlook were assessed to the upside.

 

USD/MUR

The dollar-rupee wallowed at 42.85(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

12:00 - EUR - German Ifo Business Climate Index (Sep)

18:00 - USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks

18:00 - USD - New Home Sales (Aug)

 

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
22-Sep-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
09-Sep-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
23-Sep-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
21-Sep-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Sep-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1831
1.3915
111.12
15.40
R2
1.1791
1.3833
110.74
14.89
R1
1.1765
1.3777
110.53
14.58
PP
1.1724
1.3695
110.15
14.24
S1
1.1698
1.3639
109.94
14.09
S2
1.1658
1.3557
109.55
13.92
S3
1.1632
1.3501
109.35
13.59
Cable currently riding wave B ( triangle) of a larger retracement A-B-C
Chart posted on 23.09.2021

The pound sterling is hovering near its one-month low around 1.3620 ahead of FOMC and BOE monetary policy meetings. The pound met with some fresh supply in the zone 1.3670-80 which could be a key resistance in the near term followed by 1.3800.

 

On the technical side, GBPUSD appears to be moving in a consolidation zone. As per Elliott wave principle, it appears that GBPUSD is currently riding a wave B ( triangle) of a corrective move A-B-C which could put more pressure to the downside in the near term.

 

A break  and close of 1.3600 opens the door towards 1.3100 in the medium term. A breach of wave A of triangle  (1.3980) invalidates the move and can be bullish in the medium term.

 

 

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.