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Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 18 October 2021

Do not anticipate and move without market confirmation - being a little late in your trade is your insurance that you are right or wrong.

Jesse Livermore
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
The Cable sailed higher on hawkish comments from BoE's Governor Andrew Bailey.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency slipped to $1.1580 after ECB's President Christine Lagarde stated at an International Monetary Fund event on Saturday that the European Central Bank will continue aiding the euro-area economy as the fallout from the pandemic lingers.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable firmed at $1.3729 on hawkish comments from the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, that the central bank is ready to act if there is a significant rise in medium-term inflation.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen extended its losing streak to 114.35 versus the U.S dollar as U.S September's Retail Sales and US T-bond yields rose unexpectedly on Friday.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar pressured down to $0.7404 on the back of weaker than expected Chinese macro releases earlier today.

 

USD/CAD
The Loonie trimmed some of its gains to 1.2398 against the U.S dollar after the Bank of Canada Governor Tim Macklem warned that the faster price increase might slow the pace of Canada's economic recovery and global supply-chain issues weighing on the domestic economy.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand edged up to 14.67 per U.S dollar boosted by market bets that the South African Reserve Bank will raise its primary lending rate at its following monetary policy in November.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee idled at 43.05(selling) this morning after Bank of Mauritius' intervention on the Forex market last Friday.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time
Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1659
1.3799
114.37
15.24
R2
1.1642
1.3767
114.04
15.08
R1
1.1619
1.3720
113.86
14.92
PP
1.1602
1.3688
113.54
14.88
S1
1.1579
1.3641
113.36
14.83
S2
1.1561
1.3609
113.03
14.67
S3
1.1539
1.3562
112.85
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
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  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.