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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 18 November 2021

Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy.

Warren Buffet
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
19 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.42
  • 0.6459
  • BWP
  • 3.47
  • 0.0737
  • CAD
  • 34.46
  • 1.3664
  • CNY
  • 6.60
  • 7.1402
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.9093
  • EUR
  • 50.34
  • 1.0691
  • HKD
  • 6.10
  • 7.7148
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.1874
  • JPY
  • 30.85
  • 152.6385
  • KES
  • 35.97
  • 130.9049
  • NZD
  • 27.96
  • 0.5937
  • NOK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8251
  • SGD
  • 34.91
  • 1.3490
  • ZAR
  • 2.53
  • 18.6446
  • SEK
  • 4.35
  • 10.8361
  • CHF
  • 52.18
  • 1.1081
  • GBP
  • 58.79
  • 1.2484
  • USD
  • 47.09
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.02
  • 3.6162
The Loonie crumbled to 1.2611/dlr on back of a fall oil prices that hit a six-week lows.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency bounced off 16-month low to $1.1318 as U.S inflation expectations weighed on the U.S Treasury yields coupled with strong Eurozone CPI for October.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable surged to $1.3490 after a jump in Britain's October inflation piled pressure on the Bank of England to hike rates at its meeting next month.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen shot up to 114.21 against the U.S dollar as Japan eases coronavirus-led activity restriction.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar extended its downfall to $0.7276 in absence of encouraging details from a virtual meeting between US President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

 

USD/CAD,
The commodity linked Loonie crumbled to 1.2611 against the greenback thanks to a fall oil prices that hit a six-week lows.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand modestly gained to 17.50 per U.S dollar as local retail sales rose and consumer inflation came in unchanged.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed put at 43.50(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

17:30 - USD - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov)

17:30 - USD - Initial Jobless Claims

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1417
1.3627
115.76
15.54
R2
1.1374
1.3561
115.37
15.26
R1
1.1349
1.3528
114.73
15.13
PP
1.1306
1.3462
114.
14.88
S1
1.1281
1.3429
113.70
14.83
S2
1.1238
1.3363
113.31
14.67
S3
1.1213
1.3330
112.67
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.