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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 12 November 2021

The hard part is discipline, patience and judgement

Seth Klarman
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
25 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.77
  • 0.6565
  • BWP
  • 3.43
  • 0.0733
  • CAD
  • 34.51
  • 1.3581
  • CNY
  • 6.56
  • 7.1473
  • DKK
  • 6.83
  • 6.8649
  • EUR
  • 50.42
  • 1.0758
  • HKD
  • 6.08
  • 7.7125
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.0612
  • JPY
  • 30.50
  • 153.6760
  • KES
  • 35.48
  • 132.1115
  • NZD
  • 28.10
  • 0.5994
  • NOK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7536
  • SGD
  • 34.80
  • 1.3468
  • ZAR
  • 2.52
  • 18.6007
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7251
  • CHF
  • 51.57
  • 1.1003
  • GBP
  • 58.71
  • 1.2526
  • USD
  • 46.87
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.96
  • 3.6157
The Cable dived to $1.3368 after U.K's GDP revealed below Bank of England's forecast
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency plummeted to $1.1442 as investors are ramping up bets on whether the U.S. Federal Reserve will hike interest rates earlier than expected and pricing the first rate hike by July 2022.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable dived to $1.3368 after U.K's economy grew less than the Bank of England forecast, and consumer spending showed signs of weakening, leaving the chances of an interest-rate increase in December in the balance.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen extended losses to 114.17 against the U.S dollar after Japan’s Economy Minister Daishiro Yamagiwa said new COVID-19 measures will aim to both prevent the virus spread and keep economic and social activities going.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar extended downward pressure to $0.7291 while half the Australian economy is still in Covid-triggered lockdowns.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar sustained the down run to 1.2578 against the U.S dollar on the back of the Fed rate hike chatters and sluggish prices of Canada’s main export item, WTI crude oil.

 

USD/ZAR
South Africa's rand firmed at 15.29 per U.S dollar while local bond yields edged lower after the government pledged to cut the budget deficit and curb debt in its mid-term budget.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee rose by 5 cents to 43.20(selling) on a strong U.S dollar.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

19:00 - USD - JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
15-Dec-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
12-Dec-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
16-Dec-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
17-Dec-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Dec-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Dec-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1522
1.3487
114.55
15.54
R2
1.1505
1.3460
114.35
15.26
R1
1.1477
1.3413
114.21
15.13
PP
1.1460
1.3386
114.01
14.88
S1
1.1432
1.3339
113.87
14.83
S2
1.1415
1.3312
113.67
14.67
S3
1.1387
1.3265
113.53
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.