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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 10 August 2021

The only truly magic formula is willingness to keep trying and testing. 

Greg Renker
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
18 Apr 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.55
  • 0.6504
  • BWP
  • 3.46
  • 0.0738
  • CAD
  • 34.43
  • 1.3642
  • CNY
  • 6.58
  • 7.1369
  • DKK
  • 6.82
  • 6.8835
  • EUR
  • 50.41
  • 1.0732
  • HKD
  • 6.09
  • 7.7142
  • INR
  • 0.57
  • 82.2069
  • JPY
  • 30.79
  • 152.5363
  • KES
  • 36.08
  • 130.1709
  • NZD
  • 28.05
  • 0.5972
  • NOK
  • 4.37
  • 10.7550
  • SGD
  • 34.90
  • 1.3459
  • ZAR
  • 2.55
  • 18.3894
  • SEK
  • 4.36
  • 10.7728
  • CHF
  • 51.95
  • 1.1061
  • GBP
  • 58.86
  • 1.2531
  • USD
  • 46.97
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 12.99
  • 3.6158
Dollar-rupee clung to 42.95(selling) post BOM' intervention.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The common currency tumbled near four-month lows around $1.1730 following Atlanta Fed President Bostic and Richmond Fed President Barkin reaffirmed their stance on rising inflation yesterday.

 

GBP/USD
The pound plunged to $1.3845 on Brexit woes after former Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage slammed France and the EU for failing to “lift a finger” to prevent the dangerous cross-channel migrant crisis.

 

USD/JPY
Yen surged to 110.31 per dollar on mounting worries about the fast-spreading Delta variant on global economic recovery.

 

USD/CAD
Loonie plummeted to 1.2578 against the greenback on sagging crude oil prices.

 

AUD/USD
Aussie cascaded to $0.7323 on downbeat Australian NAB Business Confidence data this morning.

 

USD/ZAR
South African rand nosedived to 14.85 versus the dollar, readjusting after Cabinet reshuffled last week. Local markets resume following a public holiday.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee inched lower to 42.95(selling), weighed down by Bank of Mauritius' intervention to sell U.S dollars on the domestic market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

13:00 - EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)

20:00 - USD - EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00-0.25%
16-Mar-2020
22-Sep-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
09-Sep-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
23-Sep-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
21-Sep-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
07-Sep-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1793
1.3934
110.75
14.91
R2
1.1781
1.3914
110.55
14.78
R1
1.1759
1.3881
110.42
14.71
PP
1.1747
1.3861
110.23
14.66
S1
1.1725
1.3827
110.10
14.61
S2
1.1713
1.3807
109.90
14.52
S3
1.1691
1.3773
109.77
14.21
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
EURGBP riding wave C
Chart updated on 21.06.2021

EURGBP appears to be riding into a corrective wave  A-B-C after completing 5 waves to the downside. Yesterday, we observed an impulsive break out  of wave B  channel  which could lead EURGBP towards final wave C as per Elliott wave analysis. we remain bullish on EURGBP with stop loss below 0.8500 targeting 0.8757 , 0.8826 and ultimately 0.8915.

 

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside for GBPJPY
Chart posted on 21.07.2021

After rallying towards a high of 156.07 end of May 2021, we saw a three wave corrective move to the downside in GBPJPY which possibly could  be the end of a corrective wave A-B-C  before a new high is formed  or possibly  part of a larger corrective combination wave W-X-Y as per Elliott wave perspective.

 

127% appears to be good level for short term rebound to the upside.

 

Approaching 149.00/149.10 could be an opportunity to long the market with stop below 148.30 with  targets  levels 150 , 150.71 and 151.70.

Markey update on Biz Week by Christie Ng
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.